Bitcoin Entered in September, which acts near $ 107,000, but the story is not on its side.
On average, the month has been the weakest for BTC with a median decline of approx. 5% and an average loss of about 6% over the past 12 years with market data.
Some point out that Microstrateys prize over Bitcoin slides at the same time September’s seasonal weakness weaves. Nick Ruck from LVRG Research warns that this reflects deeper doubts about the company’s state-heavy strategy.
“Microstratey’s recent struggle to maintain its Bitcoin prize reflects a wider market change in which investors question the sustainability of corporate chain models focused exclusively on crypto accumulation, a dynamic that could be worsened by September’s historic bearish trend for crypto active,” nick ruck, director of lvrg Research.
“This cooling appetite emphasizes a maturation in crypto markets where structural vulnerabilities and competition force a reassessment of what really drives long-term value beyond mere bitcoin proxi,” Ruck added.
With Fed-Rate-Cut betting, which builds in September, a Dovish turn could soften the seasonal feature. Conversely, fresh ETF flows or other equity -Sales could reinforce the historic pattern and push BTC against $ 100,000 support.
Meanwhile ether (Eth) dropped 1.7% to $ 4,390 while Solana’s sun (Sun) dropped 3.4% to $ 197.6. XRP Slip 4.3% to $ 2.72 and Dogecoin withdrew 4.2% to 21 cents that extended last week’s winnings for turns.
Since 2013, Bitcoin has closed red in September eight out of twelve times, with brutal features such as 2019’s 13% slide and 2014’s 19% decline. Even under bull cycles, rallies have tended to stop. The lonely bright spots were 2015, 2016 and 2023 with winnings from 2% to 7%.
This consistency has led the traders to treat September almost like a seasonal deal. Seasonalness refers to the trend of assets to exhibit regular and predictable fluctuations that repeat themselves throughout the calendar year.
While it may occur random, possible causes of profits around the tax season in April and May, which can cause closures, to the generally Bullish “Santa Claus” rally in December, a sign of increased demand.
The pattern is not unique to crypto as shares also show weakness around this time of year; However, BTC’s sharper volatility makes it stand out.
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