XRP moved lower after another rejection near resistance, with increasing volume confirming that sellers remain in control of the short-term trend.
News background
- XRP has struggled to regain momentum since its July 2025 peak and continued to trade within a broader corrective structure. The token remains around 60% below the high as market participants debate whether the current consolidation represents accumulation or continuation of the downtrend.
- Institutional positioning has offered mixed signals. Spot XRP ETFs have accumulated about $1.24 billion in inflows over the past four months, while on-chain data shows major wallets adding positions during recent dips.
- At the same time, derivatives activity has cooled significantly, with open interest falling sharply since late 2025 as leverage unwinds across crypto markets.
- Ripple’s supply dynamics also remain stable. The company re-locked 700 million XRP for escrow on March 1 as part of its routine supply management cycle.
Summary of price action
- XRP fell 3.3%, falling from $1.4588 to $1.4108
- The price repeatedly failed to hold above the $1.43-$1.45 resistance zone
- Volume increased 74% above average during the main sale
- A late session break below $1,411 confirmed downside momentum
Technical Analysis
- The key technical event was the rejection of the $1.43-$1.45 resistance band, which triggered a sequence of lower highs and reinforced the prevailing descending channel structure.
- As $1,411 support gave way on increased volume, downside momentum accelerated, pushing XRP towards the $1.40 area. Short-term structure now favors sellers while price remains below the previous support zone.
- Despite the weakness, the broader chart shows compression forming between downward resistance and rising support, with a potential triangle structure approaching the apex. This suggests that the market may be approaching a major directional move once the current consolidation is resolved.
- Key levels now cluster around $1.40 support and $1.43-$1.45 resistance.
What do traders say is next?
- Traders are watching closely to see if XRP can stabilize above $1.40.
- Holding this level could allow the token to consolidate before attempting another move towards $1.45 and eventually $1.55, which analysts see as the first level that would weaken the broader bearish structure.
- However, a break below $1.40 is likely to shift focus towards deeper support around $1.33, with some analysts pointing to the $1.00 zone as a potential longer-term reset area if selling pressure accelerates.
