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Going into seasons, we form opinions based on last season and whatever they did in the offseason. As the season progresses, we will find out if these opinions are valid or not. Sometimes it can be a challenge to let it go, but as sports bettors we absolutely cannot get stuck in our thoughts and be stubborn. Two teams on opposite ends of my opinions are the Chicago White Sox and the San Francisco Giants, who play Friday night.
Coming into this year, I expected the White Sox to be better, but I didn’t expect them to be this good. They’re over .500, which won’t exactly launch them into the playoffs, but for a team that’s been terrible the last few years, this is progress. There is still work to be done, but the good news for them is that they have assets to trade or bring in guys if they want to. Additionally, they are in a very winnable division.
Chicago White Sox’s Munetaka Murakami celebrates his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the seventh inning in Phoenix, Arizona, on April 22, 2026. (Ross D. Franklin/AP Photo)
I’d still be surprised if the team wins more than 80 games this season, but I suppose it’s okay for Chicago fans to be happy for now. They have found some very good pitching in the past few seasons and this year they have another one in Davis Martin, tonight’s starter.
Martin is 29 years old in his fourth season. He has been phenomenal this year. For the season, Martin is 6-1 with a 1.61 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. He hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in his last eight starts, and what really impresses me is that he doesn’t allow a ton of hits in games. The Giants are 4-for-15 against Martin in his career.
I was wrong about the San Francisco Giants. I thought they would be quite competitive this season and so far that hasn’t been the case. The team is 10 games under .500 and they look lost out there. I knew the division was a complete longshot, but this team should be better. Are they bad because they don’t respect their new leader? It seems a little unlikely, but whatever the case, they are not playing good baseball. They don’t score runs. They have a .244 batting average, which is solid and 12th in the league, but the 173 runs are last in the league.
WHITE SOX’S MUNETAKA MURAKAMI, COLSON MONTGOMERY COMBINE TO ACHIEVE HISTORIC HOME RUN FEAT

Chicago White Sox manager Will Venable meets on the mound with catcher Drew Romo, shortstop Colson Montgomery, first baseman Munetaka Murakami and second baseman Chase Meidroth during an MLB game at Rate Field in Chicago on May 13, 2026. (Patrick Gorski/Icon Sportswire)
With Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers and Willy Adames, I would figure they would eventually start getting some more consistent scoring. Those three have combined for a .236 batting average and 12 homers. On the pitching side, Trevor McDonald has had a solid season so far. He is 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. Those numbers have come in just three games this season. He pitched seven innings of two hits and one run in his lone home start.
I think there are two good options for this game – the Giants have lost three games in a row and don’t look good at home or on the road. The White Sox are playing better baseball, but they lost their last series against the Mariners. However, I think they have a great chance to win this game with Martin on the mound. I think the best bet here is to take Martin’s earned runs under 2.5 runs.

San Francisco Giants manager Tony Vitello reacts to an umpire’s call during the second inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla., on May 2, 2026. (Pablo Robles/Imagn Images)
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I also think the overall game must go under. I really like what I’ve seen of McDonald and think he and Martin on the mound could combine to keep offenses off the table. Give me under 7.5. The Giants team totally under and the White Sox team totally under are also nice looks.
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