In the financial markets, taking assumptions based on short -term observations is a fool’s errand, as significant trends evolve over months and years, not days or weeks. But as investors assess Bitcoin’s role in their portfolios, the events in April are worth analyzing to understand the new reputation of the asset as a value of value.
Background of volatility
The turbulence triggered by President Trump’s Customs Notification On April 2, the share prices fell the following day, with Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 respectively, fell 4.8% and 5.4%. Bitcoin followed when the VIX volatility index hit levels that were not seen since the early days of covid and fear of retaliatory measures prevailed.
However, Bitcoin’s award began to recover sharply within days of the message, causing its connection with both Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 to fall below 0.50 before these correlations rose again as the break on April 9 on the customs brought back “Risk -On” mode.
Bitcoin’s contexts to traditional markets in April
Source: Hashdex research with data from CF -Benchmarks and Bloomberg (April 1, 2025 to April 30, 2025). 30-day rolling correlations (in view of working days only) between Bitcoin (represented by Nasdaq Bitcoin Reference Price Index) and Tradfi indexes.
This short -term observation matters because it supports the changing nature of how investors perceive Bitcoin. While some still categorize Bitcoin as a “risk-on” drunken risk, institutional mood begins to reflect a more nuanced understanding. Bitcoin recovered faster than the S&P 500 in the 60 days that followed the Covid outbreak, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the US banking crisis in 2023, events in which it demonstrated resilience and a profile that was increasingly in line with the gold during stress.
These periods of decoupling establish a pattern where Bitcoin shows its antifragile properties, allowing allocation to protect capital during systemic events while still exceeding the execution of stocks, bonds and gold over long -term.
Bitcoin vs. Traditional assets, 5-year-old return
Source: Casebitcoin, Return data from May 1, 2020 to April 30, 2025 (CasebitCoin.com)
The way to digitally gold
Maybe more compelling than Bitcoin’s long -term returns are the long -term portfolio effects. Even a small allocation to Bitcoin within a traditional 60% share/40% bond portfolio would have improved risk -adjusted returns in 98% of the rolling three -year periods in the last decade. And these risk -adjusted returns are significantly higher over longer time frames, suggesting that Bitcoin’s volatility from positive returns more than disgusting on short -term traits.
It may still be too early to claim that Bitcoin has been universally accepted as “digital gold”, but that the narrative supported by its response to geopolitical events is gaining momentum. The combination of Bitcoin’s regular supply, liquidity, availability and immunity to the central bank’s interference provides the properties that cannot traditionally act. This must be appealing to any investor, large or small in search of portfolio sightsification and long -term wealth preservation.