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Our analysis for the rest of 2025 forecasts Bitcoin reaches a target of $ 150,000 to $ 160,000 Powered by a fat policy pivot and rate drop expectations in the United States, advantageous liquidity conditions and the increasingly positive crypto environment.
The latest message from Trump -Administration that allows cryptos in 401(k)S adds an additional layer to the Crypto Adoption narrative and a clear way to expand the existing Crypto Market Cap via the estimated 9 trillion USD retirement market in the United States.
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Ongoing cryptocatalysts
- Liquidity conditions: Continuous liquidity injections from PBOC and the total expansion of global m2.
- Businesses and funds: Institutions put their balance on working in Bitcoin like never before. In addition, the number of bitcoin and ether funds continues to grow quickly.
- ISM study is expected to rise above 50.0. When the ISM study goes on a positive territory, it has previously correlated with the start of the “All -Season.”
Quantitative models and risks
Our quantitative models remain positive and show a significant extent for further upside in Bitcoin and the wider market:
- Our Vanguard modelWhich is a trend detection system continues to generate long convictions weekly signals.
- Weekly price closes above $ 119,000 will keep the bullish atmosphere alive and cement the technical background for further upside in unprotected waters for Bitcoin.
Source: BiYond.co, August 2025
Risks
- An acceleration of negative data points in the United States, leading to stagflation fears and risk-off over fear of a global slowdown.
- A significant withdrawal in the S&P 500 in the 3rd quarter, possibly from the 6,660 level, which remains a primary target.
- Negative customs headlines and more specifically a collapse in Sino-US trading negotiations.
- Comprehensive Profit from ETF Holders if Bitcoin crosses $ 150,000 or even $ 160,000
Insight from Demark -Indicator
Demark TD sequential Monthly Diagram points to a possible top at the end of the year with the index moving towards Setup 9 and Countdown 13. When the Demark indicator has approached 9 or 13 earlier, it has signaled strongly overbought exhaustion.
Source: Symbolism Demark TD Sequential
Crypto Total Market Cap
The potential outbreak of the Crypto Total Market Capitalization chart presents another dynamic of the ongoing and previously mentioned Bullish Catalyst for Crypto Market. Namely:
- An initial Q3 target of five trillion USD.
- A wide-based crypto market rally that includes the top 150 cryptos.
- Limited scope for the disadvantage below 4 trillion USD when a final short fracture occurs.
Conclusion
Bitcoin and the Cryptocurrency Market are well placed to explode to new business heights, with projections expected to reach between $ 150,000-160,000and a five trillion USD market value.
The most important upcoming risk events include higher CPI readings in the coming months and stopped in trade negotiations between the United States and China, although we feel it is far more likely that a “kick of the can” down the road and an expansion of ongoing trade interviews to reassure the markets.
Based on all the positive developments around Bitcoin and technical indicators, a strong case can be made for further strong award assessment that runs into the end of the year.
