The US employment situation continued to roll together in March in March and added another piece to the puzzle as the Federal Reserve is considering the path of short -term interest rates in a world that has changed significantly in the last 48 hours.
NonFarm salaries rose by 228,000 last month, reported the Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday morning. Economists had expected a gain of only 135,000 after February’s increase of 117,000 jobs (revised from an originally reported 151,000).
However, unemployment for March rose a cross to 4.2% against economic consensus of 4.1% and February 4.1%.
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) had been slightly changed in the minutes following the report to $ 82,600.
At the forefront of the Jobs report, the CME FedWatch tool -which measures the market’s expectations for the Federal Reserve policy -had four -rate cuts for 2025, which would bring federal fund prices down to a target area of 3.25%–3.50%. While Fed is still expected to keep the rates stable at its May meeting, market participants are increasingly investing in a June cut with the current odds showing a 60% probability.
Of course, all of this comes when Trump’s messages on Wednesday night threw markets in a historic tizzy. Nasdaq fell 6% on Thursday and the S&P 500 just shy at 5%. The hopes of a kind of Friday vote were stabbed a few hours ago when China announced retaliation gums. Before the job data, Nasdaq and S&P futures pointed to open falls of about 3%.
Bitcoin added to the list of safe ports?
To no surprise is gold among the assets where investors have been hiding. Although it is a bit down since the duty notice, it remains very close to its record height of about $ 3,200 per day. Ounce. To no surprise, the US Treasury bonds have also seen a strong bid, with the yield of 10-year-old tumbling to 3.89% right in front of morning job news, now lower by almost 100 basic points since President Trump’s inauguration.
Bitcoin Bulls may have been disappointed with Krypto’s behavior in recent weeks, with the award seemingly moving cross for crosses with the fighting Nasdaq. However, signs of a decoupling can occur. Bitcoin managed to keep the $ 80,000 level on Thursday, even when Nasdaq tumbled all day. Prior to morning numbers, BTC was about flat in the area $ 82,000, even when Futures pointed to a continuation of the Nasdaq jump.
Next, March Inflation Data to be reported next week, with both core and headline CPI, is still seen floating around 3%.