By Francisco Rodrigues (all times one unless otherwise stated)
Crypto dealers break down after Wednesday’s FOMC minute showed that fat appears to keep rates stable until inflation improves and discussed breaks or brakes the runoff of balance.
Still, the yield fell on the 10-year-old treasury and the dollar was weakened. Cryptocurrencies are higher with the Coindesk 20 index up 1.4% and Bitcoin 1.2% over 24 hours. The winnings follow the comments of Czech national bank governor Ales Michl, who repeated the case for Bitcoin as a reserve asset, and President Donald Trump said he had completed “Joe Biden’s War on Bitcoin and Crypto.”
Bitcoin dealers take a waiting-and-see approach as a declining demand, a lack of blockchain activity and wobbly liquidity inflow point to potential withdrawal to $ 86,000. It’s currently over $ 97,000. Their attitude is visible not only in declining volatility, but also a significant decrease in open interest.
Open interest rates on Bitcoin Futures contracts have dropped to less than $ 60 billion from nearly $ 70 billion in late January, Coinglass Data shows. The fall comes in the middle of what seems to be a detachment of Memecoin -dille As recent battles, such as Argentina’s weight baker, muted enthusiasm.
“Right now, the market is in a bit of a Cooldown phase,” David Gogel, VP for strategy and operations at the Dydx Foundation, told Coindesk. “Bitcoin has stopped, but after not breaking past $ 105,000 in January, we’ve seen capital inflow slower, and speculative assets like Solana and Memecoin’s hit.”
That hit is visible in the overall open interest in futures contracts for Sol, Solana Blockchain’s native token. Oi fell from about $ 6 billion late last month to about $ 4.3 billion now, according to Thetie data. Solana is one of the leading networks for Memecoins.
“The market must remain aligned with wider macro drivers and geopolitical developments that could trigger movements,” Wintermute OTC told Jake O to Coindesk. These geopolitical developments include increasing tensions between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, which led to a non-so-sub-public exchange.
Falling gearing and a shift away from more risky acting suggests that the market may enter a new phase. What it actually implies, the way to see. Stay aware!
What to look at
- Crypto:
- Macro
- February 20, 8:30: Statistics Canada reports January’s producer price inflation data.
- PPI MOM est. 0.8% against prev. 0.2%
- PPI Yoy Prev. 4.1%
- February 20, 8:30: The US Department of Labor releases unemployment insurance’s weekly requirements for the week, which ended February 15.
- Initial unemployed claims est. 215k vs. Prev. 213k
- February 20, 17:00: Fed Governor Adriana D. Bullets give a speech entitled “Navigation of Inflation Waves as they run on Phillips Curve” in Washington. Livestream -link.
- February 20, 18:30: Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications Reports January’s data on consumer prices.
- Core inflation speed yoy est. 3.1% vs. Prev. 3%
- Inflation rate yoy prev. 3.6%
- Rate of inflation mother earlier. 0.6%
- February 21, 9:45: S&P Global Releases February’s US Purchasing Leaders Index (Flash) Report.
- Composed PMI Prev. 52.7
- Preparation of PMI est. 51.5 vs. Prev. 51.2
- Services PMI est. 53 vs Prev. 52.9
- February 20, 8:30: Statistics Canada reports January’s producer price inflation data.
- Earnings
- February 20: Block (XYZ), Post-Market, $ 0.88
- February 24: Riot Platforms (Riot), Post -Market, $ -0.18
- February 25: Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR), Pre -Market, $ -0.17
- 25th February: Cipher Mining (digifr), pre -market, $ -0.09
- February 26: Mara Holdings (Mara), Post -Market, $ -0.13
Token -events
- Management votes and calls
- Unlock
- February 21: Quick token (FTN) to lock 4.66% of circulating supply worth $ 78.6 million.
- February 28: Optimism (OP) to lock 1.92% of circulating supply worth $ 34.23 million.
- Mar 1: SUI (SUI) to lock 0.74% of circulating supply worth $ 81.07 million.
- Token launches
- February 20: PI Network (PI) to be performed at Mexc, OKX, Bitget, Gate.io, Coinw, Digifinex and others.
Conferences:
Coindesk’s consensus about taking place in Hong Kong on 18-20. February And in Toronto on 14 to 16 May. Use the code’s diary and save 15% on passports.
Token Talk
By Oliver Knight
- Pi, the native token for the PI network, debuted to $ 1.70 and immediately rose to $ 2.00 before losing 50% of his value in the next two hours.
- The network claims to have 60 million users. There are fewer than 1 million active wallets.
- Based on a self -reported circulating supply figure of 6.3 billion, PI currently has a market capital of $ 7.8 billion.
- The prerequisite behind the PI network is a blockchain that allows users to my tokens on their smartphones. It caught a significant amount of attention from retailers and has drawn comparison with viral tokens from previous bikes such as safemoon.
- Token holders face the risk of lack of liquidity. The token’s most fluid exchange is OKX, but 2% market depth – the capital amount required to move the price by 2% in both directions – is between $ 33k and $ 60k. This means that an order to say that $ 100,000 would move the market significantly to present unstable trade conditions.
Derivatives Location
- BTC volatility on derivatives has reached a monthly low, decreasing from an annual 36.09% to 28.43%.
- It contrasts with ETH, which has seen its annual volatility rise from 49.43% to 74.72%, according to data published by Deribit.
- About $ 1.5 billion value of BTC and ETH options are set to expire tomorrow, with nearly $ 5 billion expiring for a week.
- The overall open interest across all trading pairs on retail -centered stock exchanges has increased by 2.10% in the day to $ 80.8 billion.
Market Movement:
- BTC has risen at 1 p.m. 1.10% from 7 p.m. 16 A Wednesday to $ 97,300.67 (24 hours: +1.09%)
- ETH has increased 0.60% of $ 2,738.90 (24 hours: +0.51%)
- Coindesk 20 has risen 1.72% to 3,250.68 (24 hours: +1.67%)
- Ether Cesr Composite Staking Rate is down 6 bps to 2.99%
- BTC financing rate is at 0.0037% (4,0920% annual) on Binance
- DXY is down 0.18% at 106.98
- Gold has risen 0.60% of $ 2,950.84/OZ
- Silver has risen 1.52% to $ 33.19/oz
- Nikkei 225 Closed -1.24% at 38,678.04
- Hang bed closed -1.60% at 22,576.98
- FTSE has dropped 0.24% at 8,690.90
- Euro stoxx 50 has increased 0.62% at 5,494.99
- DJIA closed Wednesday 0.16% at 44,627.59
- S&P 500 CLOSED +0.24% at 6,144.15
- NASDAQ closed +0.07% at 20,056.25
- S&P/TSX Composite Index closed unchanged at 25,626.16
- S&P 40 Latin America closed -1.35% at 2,463.68
- US 10-year-old Treasury fell 1 BPS by 4.53%
- E-MINI S&P 500 Futures are down 0.2% to 6,150.50
- E-MINI NASDAQ-100 futures are down 0.22% at 22,200.75
- E-mini dow jones industrial average index futures is down 0.15% to 44,643
Bitcoin -Statistics:
- BTC Dominance: 61.10 (0.04%)
- Ethereum to Bitcoin ratio: 0.02819 (0.28%)
- Hashrate (Seven-Day Sliding Average): 831 EH/S
- HashPrice (Spot): $ 54.24
- Total Fees: 5.127 BTC / $ 499.118
- Cme futures open interest: 172,360 BTC
- BTC priced in gold: 32.8 oz
- BTC VS GOLD MARKET CAP: 9.32%
Technical analysis
- Bitcoin has the rebuilding of the annual open to $ 93,385 and regained the 100-day exponential moving average on the daily timeframe.
- During the last three deep sales, the price has formed higher low low, indicating a strong buyer interest in the current range.
- However, the short-term 20-day and 50-day EMAs crossed the daily timeframe recently for the first time since August 5 and signaled a need for caution in the short term.
Crypto shares
- Microstratey (Mstr): Closed Wednesday of $ 318.67 (-4.58%), an increase of 2.01% to $ 325.08 in Pre-Market
- COINBASE GLOBAL (COIN): CLOSED TO $ 258.67 (-2.25%), an increase of 1.76% to $ 263.22
- Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): Closed to C $ 25.32 (-3.76%)
- Mara Holdings (Mara): Closed to $ 15.78 (-1.68%), an increase of 1.33% to $ 15.99.
- Riot Platforms (Riot): Closed to $ 11.56 (unchanged), an increase of 1.04% to $ 11.68
- Core Scientific (Corz): Closed to $ 12.02 (-2.99%), an increase of 1.41% to $ 12.19
- CLEANSPARK (CLSK): CLOSED TO $ 9.89 (-1.88%), an increase of 1.81% to $ 10.07
- COINSHARES VALKYRIE BITCOIN MINERS ETF (WGMI): CLOSED TO $ 22.78 (-0.26%), unchanged
- Semler Scientific (SMLR): Closed to $ 52.22 (+2.96%), an increase of 0.06% to $ 52.25
- Exodus Movement (Exod): Closed to $ 48.41 (+4.00%), Unchanged
Etf is flowing
SPOT BTC ETFS:
- Daily Net Tream: -$ 64.1 million
- Cumulative net streams: $ 40,00 billion
- Collected BTC holdings ~ 1,170 million.
SPOT ETH ETFS
- Daily Net Tream: 19 million dollars
- Cumulative net streams: 3.18 billion dollars
- Collected ETH holdings ~ 3,795 million.
Source: Father’s page -Investors
Flows overnight
Today’s chart
- Data to month to date for top -bridge net flows of networks highlights a strong capital flow to the base network since the beginning of the month.
- The Layer-2 Blockchain had a net flow of $ 314 million, more than twice the size of the second placed arbitration, which has seen a $ 115 million influx.
- Inflow to Solana slowed down the midst of liquidity drains caused by several high-profile celebrities MEMECOIN launches over the past month.
While you were asleep
- Libra Memecoin Fiasco destroyed $ 251 million. In Investor Wealth, Research Shows (Coindesk): Nansen’s On-Chain analysts say 86% of people who traded the Token lost money, with the total loss of $ 251 million. The winners enjoyed a total profit of $ 180 million.
- HK To expand, open market to virtual assets (standard): By consensus Hong Kong, SFC CEO Julia Leung announced aspire-a 12-point professional investors.
- Mantra launches program for real-world assets with Google Cloud Support (Coindesk): Layer-1 Blockchain Mantra Rwacelerator-Rygstarter, working on tokenizing assets in the real world by providing mentoring, with technical support and cloud credit coming from Google.
- China is likely to reduce its benchmark policy rate next month (CNBC): China’s Central Bank had its most important lending rates stable on Thursday, led to expectations of a policy that eased in March.
- Bank of England’s Gold-Diggers is struggling with Trump-driven Madness (Bloomberg): Speculations of impending US tariffs have forced a small Boe team to extract 12.5 kg of gold bars when dealers take advantage of gaps between London Spot and US Futures Awards.
- ‘Stagflation’ fears haunting US markets despite Trump’s pro-growth agenda (Reuters): While investors have largely remained bullish on US stocks, some of the president’s new tariffs may have out of prices and suffocates economic growth.