Historical data suggests that Bitcoin Has probably set its low September 2025, about $ 107,000 the first of the month.
Looking back to July 2024, a consistent pattern emerges where Bitcoin tends to form a bottom for the month within the first 10 days of each month.
The remarkable exceptions were February, June and August 2025, when the lows came later this month, but even then the market experienced a correction within the first 10 days before resuming its wider trend.
Speculatively, the reason Bitcoin can often put its low within the first 10 days of the month bound to the institutional portfolio’s rebalans or the time of important macroeconomic events that tend to cling early in the month.
“It is worth noting that more futures and options markets expire on the last day of the month or the first day of the next, this can lead to short -term volatility and a subsequent lull in trading activity as dealers either rollover trading or completely reposition,” said Oliver Knight, deputy, who manages the editor, data and tokens, in Coindesk.
Of course, past results are not a guarantee of future results, but as Q4 is approaching, it is worth noting that this quarter has historically been Bitcoin’s strongest and delivers an average return of 85%. October has been particularly favorable with only two losing months since 2013.



