- Google Gemini predicts smaller than expected SSD discounts for Black Friday 2025
- Both laptop and internal SSD prices seem to remain close to normal
- Shoppers may see fewer deep cuts on Samsung, SanDisk, WD and Crucial drives
Gemini’s AI-generated forecasts for Amazon’s top 20 SSDs suggest that this year’s Black Friday discounts may not quite deliver the dramatic price drops that buyers expect.
Forecasts across both portable and internal models show mostly minor changes rather than deep reductions, suggesting a quieter inventory deal season in 2025.
We took prices from October 2023, November 2023, October 2024, November 2024, and October 2025, and then had Gemini predict what it expected prices to be in time for this year’s Black Friday (we fed it some additional data so it had context for all the drives).
Not big savings
Among portable SSDs, the SanDisk 2TB Extreme is expected to be cut from £150 in October to around £140, while Samsung’s T7 Portable 2TB follows a similar pattern, falling from £150 to £135.
The larger Samsung T9 4TB, which has held steady at £280, is expected to drop slightly to £260.
The Samsung Shield 4TB Portable SSD, which has fluctuated between £270 and £300, is expected to stabilize at the higher end of that range – around £280 – while Seagate’s 2TB Expansion SSD and Crucial X9 2TB Portable only show marginal reductions to around £185 and £110 respectively.
The SanDisk 1TB Portable and SSK 1TB USB external drives remain largely unchanged at £75 and £60.
Gemini’s uneven results, with some rows missing or misaligned, still show a consistent pattern: portable drives are unlikely to get meaningful discounts this year.
Internal models tell a similar story. The Samsung 990 EVO Plus 2TB is expected to drop modestly from £117 to £105, while the 980 Pro 2TB drops from £140 to £130 and the 870 EVO 1TB moves down from £88 to £80.
High-performance gaming options such as the WD Black SN7100 and SN850X are expected to remain firm around £65 and £125, while budget choices such as the PNY CS900 500GB stay around £27.
The Crucial P310 PCIe Gen4 SSD, which drops slightly from £70 to £68, and the Western Digital WD Blue 1TB, which goes from £64 to £60, show the only mild discounts. None of them are expected to break below last year’s price range.
This muted movement suggests manufacturers and retailers are maintaining tighter margins, with higher component costs and lower inventory surpluses than in previous seasons.
In short, 2025’s Black Friday SSD deals look set to be steady rather than spectacular – prices are already close to their practical limits, leaving little room for deep cuts.
It’s worth noting that we’ve excluded current SSD prices from our data, as they’re all now significantly higher than they were in October – a common pre-sale pattern that makes any Black Friday “discounts” look bigger than they really are.
|
Drive |
24 November |
25 October |
November 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SanDisk 2TB Extreme Portable SSD |
125 |
150 |
140 |
|
Samsung T7 Portable SSD 2TB |
130 |
150 |
135 |
|
Samsung T9 Portable SSD 4TB |
280 |
280 |
260 |
|
Samsung T7 Shield 4TB Portable SSD |
270 |
300 |
280 |
|
Seagate Storage Expansion Card 2TB |
191 |
190 |
185 |
|
SanDisk 4TB Extreme PRO Portable SSD |
280 |
280 |
265 |
|
Crucial X10 8TB Portable SSD |
0 |
439 |
409 |
|
Crucial X9 2TB Portable SSD |
110 |
110 |
110 |
|
SSK 1TB USB Drive, External SSD |
66 |
62 |
60 |
|
SanDisk 1TB Portable SSD |
75 |
81.4 |
75 |
|
Drive |
24 November |
25 October |
November 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Samsung 990 PRO SSD 2TB |
150 |
140 |
130 |
|
WD Black 1TB SN7100 NVMe SSD |
0 |
70 |
65 |
|
Samsung 870 EVO SATA III SSD |
95 |
88 |
80 |
|
Crucial P310 1TB SSD |
73 |
70 |
68 |
|
WD Black 2TB SN850X NVMe Internal Gaming SSD |
125 |
140 |
125 |
|
PNY CS900 500GB 3D SSD |
27 |
30 |
27 |
|
Samsung SSD 9100 PRO 2TB |
50 |
60 |
50 |
|
Samsung SSD 9100 PRO 2TB (workstation) |
0 |
170 |
155 |
|
Western Digital 1TB WD Blue |
62 |
64 |
60 |
|
Samsung 990 EVO Plus SSD |
150 |
117 |
105 |
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