However, persistent nutrition holes and the installation of environmental pressures are revealing a complex road ahead, according to a new study by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) – an influential International Policy Forum.
The Agricultural views 2025-2034It was released on Tuesday, projecting an increase of six percent in global consumption per year. Per capita foods for animal source by 2034 oxen, pork, poultry, fish, dairy products and other animal products.
The trend is most pronounced in lower intermediate income countries, where the intake is expected to increase by 24 percent that far exceeds the global average.
“These projections point to better nutrition for many people in developing countries“Said Qu Dongyu, Director General of FAO.
Agricultural views 2025-2034
Increased incomes, better diets – but not for everyone
The Surge in consumption in middle -income economies is attributed to largely increasing disposable incomes, changed dietary preference and urbanization. In these countries, daily ingestion of intake of animal-sourced food is expected to reach 364 kilo calories and exceed the 300 kcal benchmark.
At the same time, Consumption in low-income countries remains low-when only 143 kcal a day, less than half of the amount considered necessary for a healthy diet -Promising sharp inequalities in access to nutritious diets and the challenges to ensure that everyone is food ensures.
Mr. Quede called for greater efforts to ensure that people in the lowest income countries also benefit from improved nutrition and food security.
Production is expanding but emissions are rising
To meet increasing demand, Global Agricultural and Fish Production is expected to rise by 14 percent over the next decadelargely driven by productivity gains in middle -income countries.
Output of meat, dairy and eggs is expected to grow by 17 percent, while total livestock holdings are expected to expand by seven percent.
However, these gains come at an environmental cost: Direct greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture are set to increase by six percent by 2034 despite improvements in emission intensity.
As production becomes more efficient, the emissions generated falls per year. Output device, but the total footprint will still grow unless additional measures are taken.
Agricultural views 2025-2034
Other central findings
- Grain yields to grow 0.9 percent annually, where harvested area is expanded only 0.14 percent per year – half the pace in the last decade
- By 2034, 40 percent of grains go directly to human consumption, 33 percent to animal feed and the rest for biofuels and industry
- Demand for biofuels to rise 0.9 percent annually, led by Brazil, India and Indonesia
- Africa’s beef in the Sahara that is expected to grow 15 percent, although productivity remains only one tenth of North America
- India and Southeast Asia will run 39 percent of global consumption growth in 2034; China’s share falls to 13 percent from 32 percent
- Lands with high income to see decreases in fats per year. Per capita and ingestion of sweeteners due to health trends and political shifts
A WIN-WIN: More nutrition, fewer emissions
The report outlines one Scenario, where nutrition is improved for everyone, and agricultural emissions are reduced by as much as seven percent below the current levels In 2034.
Obtaining this double result would require large investments to improve productivity, along with widespread adoption of existing low emission technologies, such as precision farming, improved livestock feed and prioritization of nutrition production.
Future progress depends on a mix of political coordination, technological innovation and targeted investments – especially in countries where the gap between demand and nutritional value is sharp.
“We have tools to end hunger and increase global food security“Said Mathias Cormann, Secretary General of the OECD.
“Well -coordinated policies are needed to keep global food markets open while promoting long -term productivity improvements and sustainability in the agricultural sector.”
Pivotal role for global trade
The prospects also repeat the importance of trade, as 22 percent of all eaten calories will have crossed international borders by 2034.
“International Trade will remain indispensable for the global Agri food sector”Underlined the report.
“Multilateral cooperation and a rules -based agricultural trade are important to facilitate these trading currentsto balance food deficits and profits across countries, stabilize prices and improve food security, nutrition and environmental sustainability. “
