Dealers on decentralized betting platform The Polymarket has scaled down expectations of US military action against Iran in the midst of reports that President Donald Trump’s team is looking to repair fences.
From writing, the probability that the United States will strike Iran by June 30, 46%, was sharply down sharply from the overnight height of 66.9%, according to trading in the polymarket-listed contract “US Military Action against Iran before July.”
The fall follows a report from Axios that the United States Muller is a meeting this week between US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The meeting will be aimed at exploring a diplomatic initiative involving a nuclear agreement and a end of the Israel-IRan conflict.
Still, a polymarket user said “Trump should join the Froyet: His troops need the experience in postpostmodern warning,” calls for a military act against Iran.
On Friday, Israel launched air strikes and drone attacks in several places across Iranian military and nuclear facilities, led to the retention action from Tehran.
Bitcoin originally fell into a knee-print reaction of $ 102,750 along with risk aversion in traditional markets, characterized by a uptick in the Japanese yen and weakness of the American.
However, BTC has stabilized since then, with prices that have risen to $ 106,700 at the press time. However, Futures tied to the S&P 500 traded 0.7% lower.
Note that the Trump administration is not yet official comment on the Axios report. In a late Monday post about truth social, Trump repeated that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon calling for immediate evacuation of Tehran.
