- IDC has adjusted (reduced) its PC market forecast for 2025
- Windows 10 -Depreciation and AI -PC -effects are not strong enough
- 2025 predicted that growth is 3.7%, composed AGG for 2025-2029 is only 0.4%
Despite the apparent resurgence of the PC market in recent months, analysts are increasingly concerned about the future as global trends and geopolitical problems continue to affect industry.
In response to the recent tariffs on Chinese imports imposed by the United States, IDC has adjusted its forecast and reduced market growth to only 3.7%.
“Price increases derived from customs duty in the US combined with muted demand lead to a negative impact on the largest market for PCs,” noted Jitesh Ubrani, head of research at IDC’s worldwide mobile device’s trackers.
PC Market is facing several problems
Separately, the Canalys market regain some of its seasonal trends, while growing 3.9% for the entire calendar 2024.
Analysts predicting that AI -PCs could make up to 35% of the market in 2025 – up from 23% in the last three months of 2024.
Canalys analyst Kieren Jessop agrees with IDC: “Looming Trade Policy change in the US threatens to disturb the market that accounts for about one in three sent PCs and could inhibit the upcoming commercial update cycle and dampen an already muted consumer view.”
Jessop added: “So far, the Trump administration has placed a 10% duty on all Chinese imports that account for a significant majority of laptops sent to the United States.”
IDC is also concerned about the general consumer -PC market, which grew only 2% by 2024.
Looking past the Calendar 2025, IDC predicts an annual growth speed of less than 1% up to 2029. Connecting annual growth speed for 2025-2029 is expected to be just 0.4% on average.
