US inflation data is the key catalyst to watch this week as it could move the needle on market sentiment and Federal Reserve interest rate expectations.
The war in the Middle East and other geopolitical risks have kept commodity markets volatile with bitcoin last week failed to stay above the $70,000 mark.
The US-Israeli conflict with Iran is escalating, and the odds of a short-term ceasefire look slim in the prediction markets. Traders will monitor the price of crude oil for potential signs of its impact on inflation.
Against that background, there are some specific crypto events that catch the eye. Solstice and Kamino have teased a new product announcement without giving any details, and Succinct also said they will make an announcement.
What to see
(All times ET)
- Crypto
- March 9: Solstice and Kamino announce a new product or feature. No details were given.
- March 10: Succint makes an announcement. No details were given.
- March 12: Polakdot’s economic upgrade to begin rolling out, with a DOT supply cap, an emissions reduction and bond reduction.
- March 12: BIR mainnet will undergo its Jovian hardfork.
- Macro
- 9 March at 6.50pm: Japan’s 4Q YoY GDP growth estimated at 1.2% (previously -2.6%)
- 9 March at 22:00: China’s trade balance for January-February (previous $114.1 billion)
- 11 March at 7:30 AM: US Inflation Rate Year For February (Prev 2.4%); core rate YoY (Previous 2.5%)
- March 11: OPEC monthly report
- 12 March at 7.30am: US initial jobless claims for week ending March 7 (previous 213,000)
- 12 March at 7:30 AM: US Trade Balance for January (Prev -$70.3B)
- 12 March at 3.30pm: Fed balance sheet for week ending March 11 (prev $6.63T)
- 13 March at 7:30am: US GDP growth QoQ second estimate for Q4 (previous 4.4%)
- 13 March at 7:30 AM: US Core PCE Price Index MoM for January (Prev 0.4%)
- 13 March at 9:00 AM: US JOLTS job openings in January (previous 6,542 million)
- 13 March at 9:00 AM: US consumer sentiment in Michigan for March (prev 56.6;)
- Earnings (Estimated based on FactSet data)
- March 9: Sharplink (SBET), pre-market, $0.31
- March 11: Exodus Movement (EXOD), pre-market, $0.14
- March 12: Cango (CANG), after market, -$0.34
- March 13: Bit Digital (BTBT), pre-market, -$0.01
Token Events
- Governance votes and calls
- Convex Finance votes for Curve Ownership DAO Voting ID: 1358 which will board GHO as a Pegkeeper with a debt cap of 3 million crvUSD. Voting ends March 9.
- Lido DAO votes to make the Delegate Incentive Program (DIP 2.0) a permanent governance mechanism. Voting ends March 9.
- Lido DAO votes to approve a one-time allocation of $5 million DAO Treasury to Lido Earn ETH and USD boxes. Voting ends March 9.
- Lido DAO votes on whether Stakin (recently acquired by The Tie) should continue to act as a node operator and whether to approve updating Stakin’s onchain name and reward address. Voting ends March 9.
- Aavegotchi DAO conducts voting 1 and 2 in a multi-sig signer election and asks token holders to select a signer from among the nominees. Voting ends March 10.
- Ssv.network DAO votes to rescind DIP-46 and reallocate the originally approved $15 million development budget, splitting it into $14.9 million for DVT and $100,000 as a retroactive research grant. Voting ends March 10.
- Realtoken Ecosystem Governance DAO votes to temporarily lower the interest rate on RMM (Real Estate Monetary Fund) to zero for 15 days. Voting ends March 10.
- Unlock DAO votes to approve the Unlock Protocol DAO budget for Q1-Q2 2026, totaling approximately $30,768. Voting ends March 11.
- The Arbitrum DAO votes to establish an operational directive that automatically consolidates idle and excess non-ARB funds from DAO initiatives directly into the Arbitrum Treasury Management Company (ATMC) portfolio. Voting ends March 12.
- The CoW DAO votes on a CoW Swap Affiliate Program to reward affiliates who refer new retailers and those retailers when they reach qualifying volume milestones, with up to 500,000 USDC awarded over a six-month pilot. Voting ends March 12.
- The World Liberty Financial DAO votes to introduce a WLFI governance system that requires holders of unlocked tokens to stake (minimum 180-day lock) to participate in governance. Voting ends March 12.
- Arbitrum DAO votes to implement a Delegated Voting Power (DVP) quorum model, update its constitution and enable cancellation of onchain proposals. Voting ends March 12.
- Unlocks
- March 12: Aptos to unlock 0.69% of its circulating supply worth $11.21 million
- March 13: WhiteBit Coin (WBT) to unlock 27.77% of its circulating supply, worth $4.59 billion.
- March 15: Connex (CONX) unlocks 1.54% of its circulating supply, worth $15.79 million.
- The token is launched
- March 9: Nexira’s (NEXI) token generation event takes place. Token must be listed on KuCoin.
- March 12: ForU AI’s (FORU) token generation event takes place.
