Norwegian officials are investigating a potential leak after large efforts were placed on the Nobel Peace Price result on the polyming field just hours before it became public.
Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, who won the Nobel Peace Prize 2025 for her role in the fight for democracy, saw an increase in bets on her victory in the prediction markets hours before the official announcement, Bloomberg reported.
The tip was so remarkable that the Polymarket’s official account was published on social media about it.
A trader who uses the handle “DirtyCup” placed an almost $ 70,000 effort on Machado and went away with about $ 30,000 in profit without adding any other kind of exposure. The account was only opened weeks earlier and had no prior betting history, according to polyming data.
Two other accounts also focused solely on Machado and earned a total of $ 90,000, reported local Norwegian outlet Finansavisen.
“We take this very seriously,” said Kristian Berg Harpviken, director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute. “It seems that we have been prey to a criminal actor who wants to make money from our information.”
While the Nobel Peace Prize selection process is known for its secrecy, the committee had allegedly made its decision days earlier. The committee is now reviewing the situation.
The polyming field allows users to bet on events in the real world, from election to celebrity gossip. Its founder, Shayne Coplan, became the world’s youngest self -made billionaire after the company saw $ 2 billion investment from the owner of the New York Stock Exchange.
