What will happen to Satoshi’s BTC when Bitcoin’s quantum problem is solved?

Many are believed to belong to Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto and other owners who lost their keys, meaning they can never be moved to safety. Another 5 million or so have been uncovered through address reuse, according to Project11, a research group tracking the issue, although most of those are believed to be active holdings in exchange wallets.

Swapping in quantum-resistant signatures is the easy part, but the battle is for the coins no one moves. One camp argues for a hard deadline, after which the signature schemes Bitcoin uses today, ECDSA and Schnorr, will stop being accepted and any non-migrated coins will become unusable. By leaving them live, this site says, it hands a future attacker, potentially a sanctioned state like North Korea, a cache of bitcoin large enough to crash the price and destroy the network’s legitimacy.

The other camp calls confiscation a violation of the absolute property rights Bitcoin was built on, and warns that it sets a precedent for freezing coins under government pressure later.

Between them sit the several proposals CoinDesk has tracked over the past two months.

Hourglasses will put a cap on how many vulnerable coins can be used per block to prevent a supply flood. BIP-361, from developer Jameson Lopp and others, would let migrated holders prove ownership after the cutoff with a quantum-resistant proof that doesn’t reveal any key. PACTs, from Paradigm’s Dan Robinson, would let owners timestamp a private claim now and move funds later without disclosing anything today.

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