Odds for WC 2026: How dominant has France, Mbappé been?

After their 2-0 win over Morocco on Thursday, France have progressed to their third consecutive World Cup semi-final.

When odds were officially released in December 2022, France was +600 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Then, on June 11, 2026, the day the tournament began, France were +450 to win the title.

Now, after its quarter-final victory and dominant run to the semi-finals, Les Bleus’ odds to lift the trophy have risen to +130, the lowest rating of any nation so far.

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France opened their World Cup campaign with a 3-1 win over Senegal. After a sluggish first half, Les Bleus broke the game open and scored three goals in the second half, including a finish from Kylian Mbappé.

France carried that momentum through the rest of the group stage, defeating Iraq 3–0 and Norway 4–1 to finish on top of Group I. Against Iraq, France completely dominated the match, outshooting them 19–4 while recording 41 touches in the opposition box compared to Iraq’s seven. Les Bleus followed that up with another impressive performance against Norway, scoring four goals with a further 18 shots.

France has been even more dominant in the knockout stages. Didier Deschamps’ men are yet to concede a goal and have outscored Sweden, Paraguay and Morocco by a combined 6-0. Across those three matches, France have outscored their opponents 62-18, underscoring the level of control they have maintained throughout the tournament.

So how dominant has France’s World Cup run been? Let’s dive into the numbers.

France’s dominance

• France are the only team in this tournament to have won all six games in regulation, having won five of them by multiple goals.
• Through six games, France has outscored its opponents 16-2.
• France has not been behind in the tournament so far.
• France leads the tournament in goals with 16.
• France leads the tournament in assists with 14.
• France lead the tournament in attempts on goal with 47, 13 more than any other nation.
• France became the third nation ever to reach three consecutive World Cup semi-finals (Germany twice, Brazil).
• France achieved its 45th win at the World Cup, tied with Italy for the fourth-most all-time (Brazil-79, Germany-70, Argentina-52).
• France have now progressed in seven of their last nine quarter-finals, winning five outright and advancing via shootout twice.

Mbappé’s dominance

Before the 2026 World Cup began, Kylian Mbappé was +600 to win the Golden Boot. After scoring eight goals in six games, Mbappé’s odds have risen to +105. He is now favorite over Lionel Messi (+150).

• Mbappé has 20 career World Cup goals, making him the second-highest scorer in the tournament’s history and just one goal behind Messi.
• Mbappé is now the first player ever to score eight goals in two separate World Cups.
• Mbappé extended his World Cup record to 12 knockout goals.
• Mbappé has half of France’s 16 goals at this tournament so far.
• Mbappé has been involved in 11 goals at the 2026 World Cup (eight goals, three assists); that is the most by a player in a single edition of the World Cup since Gerd Müller in 1970 (10 goals, three assists).
• Mbappé played his 20th World Cup game under Didier Deschamps, the most of any player with the same manager.
• Mbappé has registered 10 goal involvements in each of his last two World Cups; he is only the only player on record since 1966 to achieve this in two different tournaments.
• Mbappé is the first player to have been involved in 100 goals for the French national team (64 goals, 36 assists).
• Mbappé has scored the winning goal in eight World Cup matches, now the outright most of any player in history.
• Mbappé has 17 goals without a penalty at the World Cup, tied with Messi for the most ever.

Mbappé-Dembélé-Olise connection

• France (Mbappé with eight, Dembélé with five) is the first team since 2002, Brazil, to have two players score five goals in a single World Cup (Ronaldo, Rivaldo).
• Ousmane Dembélé and Mbappé have combined for 13 goals at this World Cup.
• The Mbappé-Dembélé duo have generated more assists for each other (two assists from Dembélé to Mbappé, three from Mbappé to Dembélé) than any other duo on record (since 1966) in the competition.
• Michael Olise is the first player with 5+ assists in a World Cup since Germany’s Thomas Hässler in 1994; Olise looks to tie the individual World Cup record of six (1970 Pelé).