Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence start Xai is working with the regulated prediction market Kalshi to bring his chatbot to the world for forecasts for real money, companies said on Thursday.
The collaboration allows you to analyze news, historical data and financial indicators in real time to support users who act on Kalshi’s federally regulated platform. Kalshi Dealers can place bets on specific results of events such as Federal Reserve Interest Clutter, Senate Control or Monthly Inflation Figure -making Grok’s ability to summarize information quickly to a potential edge.
“Kalshi and Xai are working together to bring about the prediction markets. Two of the fastest growing companies in America are now on the same team,” Xai said in a post on X.
The deal brings together Musk’s latest AI venture, known for its irreverent chatbot, and Kalshi, the only US-regulated prediction market that offers marketable event contracts. While details of how Groking will be integrated was not revealed, Bloomberg reported earlier (and then withdrawn in May that both companies oblige “significant engineering resources” to the project.
The message also adds complexity to Xai and Musk’s wider prediction market strategy.
Earlier this year, Xai and X called the polymarket — a unregulated crypto-based competitor to Kalshi as their official prediction market partner. Now, with Kalshi and Polymarket, which effectively operates parallel under Musk’s orbit, the market seems to be a test space for Grok’s AI capacities across different regulatory frameworks.
Grok’s latest version, Grok 4, was revealed earlier this month and promised major upgrades in reasoning and information about information.



