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Baseball has been a solid moneymaker for me over the past few weeks, with very few bad days. Yesterday I bet on the Astros and they lost the game in brutal fashion, but I made up for it with a bet on Yordan Alvarez that balanced it out. He also hit a homer, so if you bet on that, you had a +230 return.
Today I’m switching to a game between the Brewers and the Twins.
The Milwaukee Brewers just keep doing it. They find ways to win games despite losing key players and people in their organization. This year is no different. They traded away Freddy Peralta and they still have a winning record. Add Peralta to a long list of people they’ve had to leave on this journey to find something that works for an eventual World Series title. At some point, though, the team has to be frustrated with just making the postseason.
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Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Chad Patrick throws a pitch in the first inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wis., on April 15, 2026. (Benny Sieu/Imagn Images)
For now, they are 24-17 on the year and 2.5 games behind the Cubs in the National League Central standings.
They have injuries affecting them right now, so maybe the team will get even stronger as the year goes on. Despite trading their ace, they have a team ERA of 3.35 and a 1.23 WHIP. Chad Patrick is going to the Brewers tonight (at least according to DraftKings). For the season, Patrick has been solid with a 2-2 record, a 3.06 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. He has struggled on the road with a 5.84 ERA, largely due to allowing four earned runs in each of his last two road trips. Twins hitters are 5-for-15 against Patrick.
Minnesota Twins center fielder Byron Buxton swings during a game against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wis., on April 2, 2024. (Larry Radloff/Icon Sportswire)
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For a team that was expected to be one of the worst in the league, the Minnesota Twins are showing remarkable progress. They enter tonight’s game with a 20-24 record and a winning record at home. In reality, the home record isn’t that impressive, just 12-11, but still definitely better than a losing record.
Despite a .236 batting average, the team has scored 211 runs for the year. The pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, but the 1.36 WHIP is at least manageable.
Tonight they have a guy who will likely be on the trade market if the Twins’ mild success doesn’t improve in the middle of the year, Joe Ryan. Many teams see Ryan as a No. 1 or No. 2 option in a rotation, and there’s good reason to believe so.
Joe Ryan of the Minnesota Twins delivers a pitch against the Cleveland Guardians in the first inning at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minn., on June 21, 2022. (David Berding/Getty Images)
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Ryan is 2-3 on the year with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. He is also the proud owner of a 2.60 home ERA. He left a start with an injury just two outings ago. However, he bounced back last week and threw six innings with one earned run and two hits allowed. Brewers hitters are going just 14-for-69 against Ryan.
I don’t have a good look at a player plug today, other than Andrew Vaughn going hitless. He is 2-for-12 against Ryan in his career with four strikeouts. Patrick has been decent this season, but he’s not at the same level of reliability as Ryan. Give me the twins in this one to five turns; that way we don’t have to worry about meltdowns.
For more information on sports betting and gambling, follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024
