Polymarket traders’ biases can lead to irrational results
Until the final hours of the Dutch election on October 29, Polymarket traders were confident that Geert Wilders’ nationalist Partij voor de Vrijheid (Party for Freedom) would cruise to victory. The market barely budged as Rob Jetten’s social liberal Democraten 66 (Democrats 66) climbed in all major polls. Then, within minutes of the first exit […]
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