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Despite ongoing discussions about further expansion to 16 or 24 teams, the College Football Playoff will remain a 12-team field through the 2026–27 season.
With that, the “To Miss The College Football Playoff” betting market allows punters to bet on which programs won’t be in next season’s CFP field.
And while the hiring of Lane Kiffin sent shockwaves through the SEC over the past six months, LSU has opened as a surprise favorite (-190) to miss the CFP in Year 1 of the new era.
But LSU is far from the only powerhouse facing major skepticism.
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Entering Year 3 under Kalen DeBoer, Alabama (-185) is also favored to miss the Playoff, while Michigan (-350) is heavily favored to miss the postseason in Kyle Whittingham’s first season.
The Crimson Tide lost Ty Simpson to the NFL and will need to improve a rushing attack that ranked 126th in yards per carry. carry last season. Bryce Underwood returns to the Wolverines under a brand new coaching staff that includes offensive coordinator Jason Becht.
On the other hand, oddsmakers expect the Big Ten to once again dominate the playoff picture. Indiana, Ohio State and Oregon are all considered likely CFP teams based on the early numbers.
After winning the national championship this past season, the Hoosiers reloaded through the transfer portal and brought in former TCU quarterback Josh Hoover to replace Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza. Ohio State returns quarterback Julian Sayin and superstar wide receiver Jeremiah Smith, while Oregon brings back star QB Dante Moore.
However, Notre Dame stands out the most as the Fighting Irish currently own the best odds to reach the Playoff.
Despite Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price leaving for the NFL, Notre Dame brings back Heisman Trophy favorite CJ Carr, four returning starters on the offensive line and a defense projected to be among the best in the nation.
Let’s see the latest odds at FanDuel Sportsbook from May 6.
Missing the 2026-27 College Football Playoff
USC: -360 (bet $10 to win $12.78 total)
Michigan: -350 (bet $10 to win $12.86 total)
Oklahoma: -300 (bet $10 to win $13.33 total)
Ole Miss: -220 (bet $10 to win $14.55 total)
LSU: -190 (bet $10 to win $15.26 total)
Alabama: -185 (bet $10 to win $15.41 total)
Texas A&M: -160 (bet $10 to win $16.25 total)
Texas Tech: +130 (bet $10 to win $23 total)
Texas: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Georgia: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
Ohio State: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Oregon: +220 (bet $10 to win $32 total)
Miami (FL): +230 (bet $10 to win $33 total)
Indiana: +260 (bet $10 to win $36 total)
Notre Dame: +470 (bet $10 to win $57 total)
