Polymarket traders sharply raised the odds of the Clarity Act becoming law this year after reports that President Trump reportedly agreed to the ethics provision that had stalled the bill.
Market prices for whether the crypto market structure bill is signed into law in 2026 rose to around 43% on the prediction market on Monday, compared to 32% on Friday. This was the lowest level since the market began trading in January.
The jump followed a series of reports that the final issue in months of negotiations had been cleared.
Democrats have not seen the bill, a source familiar with the matter told CoinDesk, and no text has been released. The White House and the offices of the senators involved had no comment.
Ethics have been the last major obstacle to the Clarity Act, which would create the first comprehensive federal framework for digital assets and share oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
