Holland vs. Japan World Cup Match Prediction, Odds, Picks

The Netherlands and Japan will open their Group F campaign at the 2026 FIFA World Cup in what is widely considered to be one of the most anticipated matches of the group stage.

The match will take place on June 14, 2026 at Dallas Stadium on FOX.

This heavyweight opener marks just the second World Cup meeting between these teams, with the Netherlands claiming a 1-0 victory in their previous encounter in 2010.

After missing out on the 2018 World Cup, the Netherlands have confirmed themselves as a legitimate contender, highlighted by a quarter-final run in 2022 in Qatar before losing to Argentina (the eventual champions) in a heartbreaking penalty shootout.

The Oranje secured their place at the 2026 World Cup by winning UEFA Group G and securing direct qualification without the need for playoffs. The team went undefeated, finishing with 20 points and ending their campaign with a 4–0 win over Lithuania to secure first place.

Meanwhile, Japan became the first team outside the host nations to secure a place at the 2026 World Cup, finishing first in its group during Asian qualification.

Japan has qualified for eight consecutive FIFA World Cups (1998-2026), cementing its place as one of Asia’s most consistent national teams. While its best finish remains a round of 16 appearance, the country’s steady rise has positioned it as a dangerous side to finally break through to its first ever quarter-final and beyond.

Samurai Blue come to the tournament winners of six consecutive international matches, including big wins over Brazil and England in that span.

Let’s see the odds for the Netherlands vs. Japan Group F matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook on June 14.

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Holland vs. Japan Odds

Moneyline

• The Netherlands: +105 (bet $10 to win $20.50 total)
• Japan: +270 (bet $10 to win $37 total)
• Draw: +250 (bet $10 to win $35 total)

Spread

• The Netherlands -0.5: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
• Japan +0.5: -125 (bet $10 to win $18 total)

Over/Under total odds: 2.5

• Over: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
• Under: -125 (bet $10 to win $18 total)

The Netherlands vs. Japan Prediction, Pick

From FOX Sports Research:

• This could be the toughest pick through the first four days of the tournament as both teams bring plenty of experience and talent. However, Japan will be without Kaoru Mitoma and Wataru Endō due to injuries – arguably the two best players in the team. Holland boasts the likes of Frenkie de Jong, Denzel Dumfries, Virgil van Dijk, Memphis Depay and Cody Gakpo to name a few. Back the Dutch to win close.

How to watch Holland vs. Japan

Let’s take a look at some other bets for the match.

Anytime goalscorer props

Draw No bet

• The Netherlands: -210 (bet $10 to win $14.76 total)
• Japan: +160 (bet $10 to win $26 total)

Both teams must score

• Yes: -130 (bet $10 to win $17.69 total)
• No: +104 (bet $10 to win $20.40 total)