S&P raises Pakistan’s credit rating to ‘B’ on institutional stability, progress on IMF reform

The S&P Global logo is displayed at its offices in the financial district in New York City, the United States, on December 13, 2018. — Reuters

Credit rating agency S&P Global on Wednesday raised Pakistan’s long-term sovereign credit rating to “B” from “B-“, citing stronger institutional stability and effective implementation of reforms under an IMF programme.

Pakistan’s rating outlook was kept at “stable” as sustained official financing is expected to help the country meet its external obligations while allowing it to continue rolling over commercial credit lines over the next 12 months.

The agency said the government’s efforts to broaden the tax base have improved revenue collection and accelerated fiscal consolidation, supporting a gradual decline in the country’s debt burden.

Reforms supported by the IMF have helped restore macroeconomic stability, rebuild foreign exchange reserves and ease the strain on Pakistan’s fiscal and external positions, S&P said.

Tax reforms and continued foreign inflows have also strengthened the country’s fiscal and external ⁠buffers against potential external shocks, the rating agency said.

The upgrade comes as Pakistan seeks additional external financing, including a proposed $10 billion exchange stabilization facility from the United States, Reuters reported earlier on Wednesday, citing a source.

If agreed, the facility would bolster Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves, ease pressure on the currency and reduce its reliance on multilateral financing, even as Islamabad pursues tighter fiscal and monetary policies in line with its IMF program.

S&P forecasts Pakistan’s economy to grow by 3.5% in fiscal 2027 and expects only marginal price pressure from an energy price shock stemming from the Middle East conflict.

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